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POLICY / 03

Trading risk

Last updated 15 July 2026

Prediction markets can produce fast gains and fast losses. Automation changes the speed of decisions; it does not remove risk.

Loss of funds

A market can move against a position, settle unexpectedly, or become difficult to exit. You can lose the full amount held in the dedicated bot wallet.

Automation risk

Software, data feeds, networks, exchanges, or account connections can fail. Orders may be delayed, duplicated, rejected, partly filled, or filled at an unexpected price.

Market and settlement risk

Thin liquidity, price movement, market rules, resolution sources, and settlement decisions can materially change an outcome. Read the market rules before committing funds.

Custody and security risk

Unattended trading requires encrypted signing access. Encryption is an important control, not a promise that compromise is impossible. Never connect your everyday wallet.

Control your exposure

Start with an amount you can afford to lose, use a separate wallet, review activity, and pause the service if anything looks wrong. Do not rely on projected or simulated results as income.

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